Publications

Possible Russian Gains in Georgia and Moldova

October 27, 2024 - ISW Press

The Kremlin continues to pursue its longstanding hybrid warfare efforts to regain effective control of the territories of the former Soviet Union even as it seeks to gain control of Ukraine through military force.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 27, 2024

October 27, 2024 - ISW Press

Russia's economy and war effort is coming under increasing strain, which will pose increasingly acute challenges to Russian President Vladimir Putin's ability to sustain the war over the long term.

Iran Update, October 26, 2024

October 26, 2024 - ISW Press

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) conducted three waves of strikes into Iran on October 25. The strikes were in response to the large-scale ballistic missile attack that Iran launched against Israel on October 1.

Pro-Russia Georgian Dream Party Likely Wins Parliamentary Elections

October 26, 2024 - ISW Press

Georgia’s ruling Georgian Dream party has likely won a simple majority in the Georgian parliamentary election held on October 26, 2024, according to preliminary results.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 26, 2024

October 26, 2024 - ISW Press

Bloomberg reported on October 25, citing South Korean intelligence documents, that a second group of North Korean soldiers will soon deploy to Russia.

Israeli Retaliatory Strikes on Iran

October 26, 2024 - ISW Press

Israel launched several waves of strikes targeting around 20 locations in Iran last night using about 100 manned and unmanned aircraft. Israeli targets included highly sensitive air defense assets and facilities tied to the Iranian drone and missile programs.

Iran Update, October 25, 2024

October 25, 2024 - ISW Press

Four unspecified Iranian officials outlined to Western media how Tehran could retaliate in response to an Israeli strike on Iran. These comments were likely an information operation meant to coerce Israel into limiting its strike on Iran.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 25, 2024

October 25, 2024 - ISW Press

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky warned that Russia will imminently deploy North Korean forces to unspecified combat zones on October 27 and 28, as Russian and North Korean officials continued to issue vague yet suggestive statements regarding the possible presence of North Korean troops in Russia.

Iran Update, October 24, 2024

October 24, 2024 - ISW Press

Hamas is seeking Russian support in pressuring the Palestinian Authority (PA) to negotiate over a national unity government with Hamas in the Gaza Strip. Hamas Political Bureau member Mousa Abu Marzouk met with Deputy Russian Foreign Affairs Minister Mikhail Bogdanov in Moscow on October 23 to request that Russia pressure PA President Mahmoud Abbas to negotiate with Hamas over a national unity government.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 24, 2024

October 24, 2024 - ISW Press

Russian President Vladimir Putin failed to deny the presence of North Korean military personnel in Russia on October 24, amid official Ukrainian reports that the first North Korean military units arrived in Kursk Oblast on October 23. Ukraine's Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reported on October 24 that the first units of North Korean personnel arrived in Kursk Oblast on October 23.

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